by JR McBride, I Lacan
Urban Forestry and Urban Greening 34:348-3562018
To estimate the potential effects of climate change on California urban forests, sixteen representative CA cities were paired with a “warmer” counterpart whose climate was similar to that projected for the representative city in 2099, and their species mixes were compared. This “space-for-time” substitution showed that many species being planted in cities today will likely not survive in the expected warmer climate. In some cases, 100% of existing species were expected to be unsuccessful.